Seven Trends Making Engineering and Construction Projects Bigger and Costlier
NEW YORK — Large engineering and construction projects have changed beyond recognition in recent decades. Whether the project is an airport, a power plant, or a car manufacturing complex, sites are now much larger, more complex, and more expensive, meaning more is at stake if things go wrong. Analysis by Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty (AGCS) of more than 13,000 engineering insurance claims over the last five years has identified seven major trends in engineering and construction projects, driving some of the largest losses ever. The report examines how new technologies, such as drones, satellites, lasers, and computer modeling, are increasingly being used to speed up claims and mitigate risks:
1. Higher Values Bring Larger Loss Impact — Construction sites today are much larger than in the past and projects can run for many years. The expansion of the Al Maktoum International Airport in Dubai, for example, will not be completed until 2030 and is expected to cost around $36 billion.
“As a result, sums insured are now much larger,” said Raymond Hogendoorn, global head of property and engineering claims at AGCS. “Projects with values of $5 billion to $10 billion are not unusual, meaning claims can be in the tens of millions of dollars. Flooding of the Hidroituango hydropower dam in Colombia in 2018 during construction is estimated to cost insurers around $1.4 billion, one of the largest engineering claims in history.
2. Fire/Explosion Is Among the Top Cause of Loss — Fire is the biggest cause of loss for engineering claims, accounting for over a quarter (27%) of losses by value, based on analysis of more than 13,000 claims worldwide, worth almost $8.8 billion. Fire has caused in excess of $2.35 bn of insurance losses in five years. Natural catastrophes are another source of large claims. For example, storm damage is the second-largest cause of loss by number, accounting for one in 10 claims. Natural catastrophes also rank as the top concern for construction firms in the Allianz Risk Barometer 2019.
3. Defective Product and Quality Control Losses Are on the Rise — Defective products are the single-largest source of engineering claims by frequency, and the second largest by severity, according to AGCS claims analysis. There are almost three times as many defective products claims as storm claims, the next largest cause of claims by frequency.
“We are seeing an increase in claims related to defects and quality control across the board,” said Martin Eckel, senior general adjuster, AGCS. For example, two major power generation claims — $200 million events — were caused by defective welding.
4. Greater Supply Chain Complexity Increasing Size and Cost of Claims — In the past, an airport or a power plant would most likely have been built by a national contractor using local suppliers. Today, it’s more likely to involve multiple parties with machinery, equipment, and other components sourced and transported from around the world.
“Technology is becoming more sophisticated and specialized, which can increase the costs to repair or replace machinery and equipment,” Eckel said. “If a turbine coming from China is damaged in transport, it might take as long as 18 months for a repair.”
5. Number of Business Interruption/Delay in Start-up Claims Growing — Construction and engineering firms ranked business interruption (BI) as the second most concerning risk in the Allianz Risk Barometer 2019. Growing awareness of BI exposures has seen an increase in firms buying BI covers, in particular delay in start-up (DSU) insurance, which covers delays to construction or engineering projects following physical damage. DSU claims are usually expensive – indemnity for delay in start-up has increased over time from around $200,000 per day to up to $500,000 per day.
6. Political Risk and Sanctions a Growing Concern for Long-Term Projects — Large construction projects can take as long as five to 10 years to complete and involve contractors and suppliers from around the world, making them vulnerable to sanctions and trade disputes. For example, sudden and large increases in U.S. import tariffs can add millions of dollars to claims for plant equipment and machinery imported from countries such as China.
7. Growth of Renewable Energy Projects Brings Challenges as well as Benefits — As the demand for green energy has increased, solar and wind projects have become larger, the locations more remote, and wind turbines much bigger – with blades as long as a soccer field. In 2018 alone, there were 409 new offshore wind turbines across 18 projects in the EU. Offshore wind can be a particularly challenging area for claims, as turbines can be difficult to access.
As large engineering and construction projects have become more complex, assessing risks and claims and establishing the ultimate cause of loss has become much more difficult; however, insurers have an increasing array of new technologies at their disposal to offer support:
• AGCS recently utilized drones, laser scanning, and computer modeling to determine the root cause of a machinery explosion at an inaccessible site. Drones and satellite imagery were also used to assess engineering claims after record wildfires in California and Hurricane Florence in 2018;
• AGCS is coupling 3-D topographical data from drones with hydrogeological modeling software and rainfall simulation data to predict flash flooding risk on construction sites; and
• Satellite technology offers high-resolution images of a site within 24 hours of a loss, even at remote or hazardous locations. It can also be used to combat exaggerated or fraudulent claims.
“Technology will create more certainty for engineering claims,” said Hogendoorn. “There are so many parties on a site at one time, and so many activities happening simultaneously, it can be extremely difficult to understand the sequence of a loss event. However, we can increasingly use technology to access data and information to better understand the root cause of loss and speed up the claims process.”
For more information, visit http://bit.ly/AGCSReport.